2019 Federal Election

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2019 Federal Election - Page 3 Empty Re: 2019 Federal Election

Post by Nonzero on Sat 13 Apr 2019, 9:21 pm

Nanos poll: 'Tight run' between Conservatives and Liberals

CTV News
Published on Apr 13, 2019



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Post by Featherally on Thu 25 Apr 2019, 9:13 pm

Justin Trudeau vs the Provinces

True North
Published on Apr 25, 2019



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Post by Featherally on Thu 25 Apr 2019, 9:21 pm

BATRA'S BATTLEGROUND: Can a blue wave wash away Trudeau in October?

Toronto Sun
Published on Apr 24, 2019



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Post by Featherally on Thu 25 Apr 2019, 9:39 pm

Power Play: Canada Proud founder takes aim at PM April 25, 2019

Canada Proud founder Jeff Ballingall discusses why and how he plans to engage voters on social media to defeat the Liberal government.



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Post by Fonzirette on Fri 26 Apr 2019, 9:28 pm

Provincial elections offer lessons for federal campaign | Power & Politics

CBC News
Published on Apr 26, 2019



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Post by Mojave on Sun 28 Apr 2019, 7:40 pm

Poll suggests love of Trudeau at new low but support for Tories lukewarm


Joan Bryden, The Canadian Press
Published Sunday, April 28, 2019

OTTAWA -- A new poll suggests support for Justin Trudeau, his government and his party sank to a new low this month, just six months before Canadians will decide whether to re-elect the Liberals or give them the boot after just one term.

But it also provides a glimmer of hope for the beleaguered prime minister, suggesting that support for Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives is soft and could yet dwindle as the Oct. 21 election draws closer.

And it suggests the Liberals could rebound if the election plays out as a polarized choice between them and the Tories, squeezing out the NDP and Green party.

According to the Leger poll, conducted April 18-22 for The Canadian Press, just 27 per cent of respondents said they'd vote for Trudeau's Liberals -- 13 points behind Scheer's front-running Conservatives, who, at 40 per cent, were in the range needed to win a majority of seats in the House of Commons.

The Tories led in every region except Quebec, where the Liberals enjoyed an eight-point lead with 31 per cent support; the Conservatives and Bloc Quebecois were tied at 23 per cent.

Nationally, the NDP had 12 per cent support, one point ahead of the Green party; Maxime Bernier's fledgling People's Party of Canada registered just three per cent.

Only 30 per cent of respondents said they were very or somewhat satisfied with the Trudeau government while 65 per cent said they were very or somewhat dissatisfied -- worrying numbers for the prime minister that were reflected across every region and demographic group.

Moreover, Trudeau was five points behind Scheer on the question of who would make the best prime minister, with 20 per cent to the Conservative leader's 25 per cent.

Still, when asked if Canada would be better off with a Liberal or Conservative government, 30 per cent chose the Liberals and 25 per cent picked the Tories. Fully 45 per cent said they didn't know.

Among respondents who identified as primarily NDP or Green supporters, a Liberal government was preferred by 48 and 42 per cent respectively, compared to just 18 and 23 per cent who preferred a Conservative government.

"That again to me is sort of a yellow light for the Conservatives," said Leger executive vice-president Christian Bourque, adding that Conservative support appears to be "fairly soft."

"Yes, they are in the lead but to what extent that lead is comfortable at this point, I certainly think it's not."

Leger's internet-based survey cannot be assigned a margin of error because online polls are not considered random samples. It surveyed 1,522 eligible Canadian voters who were recruited from the firm's online panel. The results were weighted to reflect the makeup of Canada's population.

Trudeau's popularity has taken a big hit since the SNC-Lavalin affair erupted in early February. He has lost two senior cabinet ministers, his most trusted adviser in principal secretary Gerald Butts, and the country's top public servant since allegations first appeared that former attorney general Jody Wilson-Raybould felt improperly pressured by the prime minister's office to halt the criminal prosecution of the Montreal engineering giant.

The latest poll numbers are the lowest Leger has recorded for the Liberals and Trudeau since they took power in 2015.

The poll suggests potentially more trouble for Trudeau is in store following the election of openly hostile conservative governments in provinces across the country, particularly Ontario and Alberta.

Respondents were evenly split overall when asked if their province should be more demanding and contest federal decisions (as 41 per cent said) or do all it can to have an excellent and peaceful working relationship with Ottawa (40 per cent). But a plurality in Ontario and Manitoba-Saskatchewan (which Leger grouped together) and fully 60 per cent in Alberta preferred the more confrontational approach.

Moreover, a plurality or majority of respondents in every region except Ontario said their province doesn't get its fair share from Ottawa. Even in Ontario, opinion was split, with 39 per cent saying the province is treated fairly and 37 per cent saying it's not.

Noting that some provincial conservative leaders, including Ontario Premier Doug Ford and incoming Alberta premier Jason Kenney, won election by campaigning against the Trudeau government, Bourque said: "One more variable that Mr. Trudeau will need to consider in the next federal election is the fact that a lot of regional barons have turned people against Ottawa."

On two other issues that might be factors in the coming election, the poll suggest the Liberals are more on side with public opinion.

While Quebec respondents were strongly in favour of banning civil servants in positions of authority from wearing obvious religious symbols -- as the provincial government has already moved to do -- a plurality or majority of respondents in every other region were opposed. That could be to Trudeau's advantage: He has made the defence of charter rights and diversity a central pillar of his political appeal.

However, Bourque said the poll suggests the issue is "not all black and white" given that sizable numbers of Canadians outside Quebec also favour banning religious symbols.

Opinion was much more clear cut on the issue of gun control. More than 80 per cent of respondents indicated support for each of three key provisions in the Trudeau government's Bill C-71: requiring gun retailers to keep detailed registries of all gun sales, extending the police background check on a person applying for a gun permit to include his or her entire life and requiring authorization to transport restricted firearms.

And 77 per cent said they were somewhat or strongly in favour of stricter gun control in general while just 17 per cent said they were somewhat or strongly opposed.





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Post by Mullberry on Fri 03 May 2019, 8:11 am

Budget watchdog to crunch numbers on election campaign promises | Power & Politics

CBC News
Published on May 2, 2019



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Post by JAFO on Fri 03 May 2019, 11:46 am

This is a good idea with one problem....it's not mandatory!

Also the only way an election promise can get the numbers crunched is if the political party making the campaign promise asks the PBO to check the figures.  Opposition parties are not allowed to ask the PBO to crunch the numbers of another party.

So let's hope the first question asked by a reporter, or voter, "Did you have the PBO check the numbers?"
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Post by Jeremiah on Fri 03 May 2019, 7:12 pm

Tories enjoy 13-point lead in new Angus-Reid poll

By Marco Vigliotti. Published on May 3, 2019

2019 Federal Election - Page 3 RpjScheer08-1200x675




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Post by Marshall on Sat 04 May 2019, 8:30 pm

Trudeau's best poll numbers still have him losing the fall election

Published:
May 4, 2019

2019 Federal Election - Page 3 0501_na_snc_2_71041842-e1556665259860




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Post by Marshall on Sat 04 May 2019, 8:35 pm

Trudeau's cabinet light on qualifications and competence

Published:
May 4, 2019

2019 Federal Election - Page 3 Trudeau-2




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Post by Highlander on Mon 06 May 2019, 8:14 am

May 6, 2019

COMMENTARY: Will the 2019 vote be the election of hate?

By Tasha Kheiriddin Special to Global News

From April 2019. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau defended Canada's asylum system, saying people coming into Canada regularly or irregularly would go through the same process and that the influx of people coming into Canada was due to global instability.





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Post by Falcon on Mon 06 May 2019, 4:42 pm

Justin Trudeau Has Very Little Other Than Scandal Going Into Election

CanadaPoli
Published on May 6, 2019



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Post by Terrarium on Tue 07 May 2019, 6:22 pm

Green Party 'very encouraged' after federal byelection win

CTV News
Published on May 7, 2019



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Post by Forcell on Wed 08 May 2019, 8:45 am

Scheer delivers major foreign policy speech ahead of election | Power & Politics

CBC News
Published on May 7, 2019



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